September 28, 2022 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, Top 50 Stocks |
Apple (AAPL), which once urged suppliers to increase production of its new iPhone, is now telling them “Never mind,” according to Bloomberg. The anticipated surge in demand has failed to materialize. the company had told suppliers to increase production in the second half of the year ahead of a projected increase in iPhone sales in the second half of 2022. Now Apple is aiming to produce 90 million iPhones in the period. That’s roughly the same level as in the second half of 2021 and in line with Apple’s original forecast this summer.
August 23, 2022 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Top 50 Stocks, Videos |
My one-hundred-and-sixty-eighth YouTube video Trend of the Week: “3 Tech Stocks for the Next Wave of Products” went up today. Tech has been hammered as of late, but there will always be new innovations and new products emerging to give these companies in this sector a long and profitable future–after this Bear Market is over. In this video, I look at why AAPL, AMD, and QCOM have solid growth stories based on new products in the pipeline.
August 18, 2022 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
If you’re looking for a catalyst to move slumping technology shares higher, circle September 7. That’s the date for Apple’s (AAPL) launch event to unveil the new iPhone 14 line. It’s just one–but the biggest–of Apple’s product launches this fall. The company is expected to announce new Macs, low-end and high-end iPads, and three models for the Apple Watch.
July 28, 2022 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Top 50 Stocks |
After looking like it was over earlier in the week with a significant pull back on Tuesday, July 26, stocks have rallied in the last two days, gaining 3.85% by the Thursday, July 28 close from that Tuesday low. And right now all the ducks are lined up in a row for a strong move higher. (But you know what they say about Bear Market rallies right? They’re really hard to trade and they’re even harder to sell into.)
Those ducks?
July 23, 2022 | Daily JAM |
This week brings an interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (75 basis point increase?), market reaction to the Russian attack on Ukraine’s major grain port, and earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple. Here’s my preview of what we might see–or at least what to look for–this week.
July 18, 2022 | AAPL, AMZN, Daily JAM, Top 50 Stocks, TSLA |
The Standard & Poor’s 500 was on track for a decent day–the index was up 0.79% at 12:43 p.m. New York time–and then Bloomberg broke a story, picked up everywhere, reporting that Apple (AAPL) intended to slow hiring and reduce spending growth next year. The S&P 500 finished the day down 0.84% and Apple shares closed down 2.06%.
July 12, 2022 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Top 50 Stocks |
Analysts at New York investment house Cowen now expect worldwide mobile phone shipments this year to decline by 6% from a year ago to 1.36 billion. In 2023, the company projects shipments will dip by another 2% to 1.33 billion units. Perhaps most worrying for investors is Cowen’s analysis of where the market problems lie: In weakness in the high-end smartphone market.
April 25, 2022 | AAPL, ABBV, AMZN, BMY, CMG, Daily JAM, FB, GOOG, Morning Briefing, MSFT, PYPL |
Going into this earnings season, the hope was that strong, surprisingly strong perhaps, earnings from the big growth stocks would put a stop to the selling. Earnings would be strong enough to convince investors that the market wasn’t over-valued since at these growth rates stocks would be seen to be quick growing into current extended valuations That hasn’t exactly worked so far. But this week the earnings story from growth stocks hits its stride. If the companies reporting this week can’t make the case for growth stock earnings, there probably isn’t a growth stock story to be made in the light of Federal Reserve interest rate increases, supply chain disruptions, and fears of a recession.
April 19, 2022 | AAPL, Daily JAM, DIS, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
Shares of Netflix (NFLX), fell 25.73% today, April 19, in after-hours trading after the company announced first quarter earnings. (In regular trading the shares had gained 3.23%.) The stock was already down 42% for 2022 before today’s after-hours plunge. The bad news: In the first quarter of 2022 Netflix (NFLX) lost 200,000 subscribers. That was a bit short of the company’s guidance for the addition of 2.5 million subscribers for the quarter. And to put a cherry on top of the bad news in the company’s earnings report, Netflix forecast that it would lose another 2 million subscribers in the second quarter of 2022.
March 11, 2022 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Long Term, Videos |
This week, my Quick Pick is Apple (AAPL). I wrote a post about a month ago, saying that Apple would be a stock to buy place ahead of its new product event on March 9 (and the traditional fall announcement of more new products.). And I think the reveal yesterday had promising new products likely to boost sales. There’s a new iPad Air, an improved iPhone SE (the cheapest iPhone), and new generations of Mac computers all with Apple’s new in-house M1 chip. The stock has fallen a bit so far this year, but hasn’t been hammered as much as other tech stocks, and I think the potential for huge sales of these new items make it a good holding over the next year.
January 28, 2022 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Mid Term, You Might Have Missed |
It’a always dangerous to construct a trend from Friday’s trading. Especially when the earlier part of the week has been so strong in one direction or another. (In this case, down, down, down.) Ahead of the weekend, stocks often reverse the trend from earlier in the week as sellers (in this case) decide that they don’t want to be quite so bearish until the market opens on Monday. So it’s not surprising that stocks gained today on nothing especially qualifying as news. But with all those caveats, I still found today’s action “interesting” and “perhaps” indicative of a future trend. Not only were stocks as a whole strongly higher–the Standard & Poor’s 500 rose 2.44% on the day–but technology stocks led the move to the upside.
January 25, 2022 | AAPL, Daily JAM, DIS, Special Reports |
Take a look at Peloton Interactive (PTON) and Netflix (NFLX) just in case you need a reminder of one of the essential characteristics of this stock market. One that makes it so hard to tell where the market as a whole is going, and what individual stocks are headed up or down (and often down big time.) What growth rate should an investor use in trying to value the stock? Who knows? Which is exactly the point and not a problem limited to Peloton in this economy. I’ve found a handful of stocks with reliable internal growth stories that make them great buy-on-the-dip candidates for over performance in the second half of 2022. I’m making three of those stocks–Apple (AAPL), Disney (DIS), and Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)–my last 3 picks for my Special Report
