The chip boom is over–or at least coming to an end. Gartner has cut its outlook for revenue growth in 2022 to just 7.4%. That’s down from a forecast of 14% growth for chip revenue three months ago. Garner sees chip revenue falling 2.5% in 2023. And you don’t have to take the word of market watchers at Gartner.
The Chips for America Act looks headed to a cloture vote in the Senate on Thursday. As the $52 billion bill now stands, it includes $39 billion for semiconductor companies to “build, expand, or modernize domestic facilities.” Here are the winners as I see them.
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My ninety-fifth YouTube video “Trend of the Week: Supply Chain Chaos Continues” went up today.
The September 17 Call Options on Advanced Micro Devices with a strike price of $90 gained another 9.09% today. The company reports earnings after hours on Tuesday July 27. I’d certainly be thinking about selling and taking my profits on these options before the actual earnings announcement.
Yesterday in my video “3 Picks for an Earnings Blowout” I argued the case that even the 61% second quarter year to year jump in earnings in the Wall Street analyst consensus was understated.. There’s a very high likelihood that we’ll see lots of positive earnings surprise in the second quarter earnings season the begins on July 13 when JPMorgan Chase reports earnings before the market opens. In that video I suggested three stocks JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as picks to play that second quarter earnings surprise. Today I’m adding one of these Advanced Micro Devices to my online portfolio with shares in my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio and Call Options in my Volatility Portfolio.
Earnings season will accelerate this week with reports from Coke, Johnson and Johnson, Snap, and Netflix
Nvidia (NVDA) announced its first microprocessor for the server market today, April 12. Right now Intel (INTC) owns around 90% of the market for server processors. And the company also reported that first-quarter revenue “is tracking” above its previous forecast. Revenue in the quarter ending in April is now expected to be higher than $5.3 the billion, which Nvidia projected on February 24. Nvidia shares were up 5.62% today on the news
…earnings season to heat up after the big banks kicked off reporting on Friday. Tuesday brings more bank earnings from Bank of America (BAC) on Tuesday and Morgan Stanley (MS) on Wednesday before we move to big players in other sectors including Procter & Gamble (PG), Intel (INTC), and Netflix (NFLX).
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The third YouTube video on What Apple and Microsoft’s moves on Intel mean for technology stocks went up today.
First, it was Apple (AAPL) moving away from Intel (INTC) chips in its entire line of Mac computers. Apple’s own new M1 chip has received positive reviews that support the company’s claims that its machines with the new chip out perform standard Intel or Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) PCs. Now, Microsoft (MSFT) is working on in-house processor designs for use in the servers that run the company’s cloud services. The software giant is using designs from Arm Holdings (in the process of being acquired by Nvidia (NVDA) for $40 billion) to produce a processor that will be used in its data centers. Microsoft is also exploring (which means, I think, that the effort hasn’t gone as far as “working on”) developing another chip that would power some of its Surface line of personal computers. The move by Microsoft would be a big deal.
