Is that a European breeze at the back of these wind power stocks?

Is that a European breeze at the back of these wind power stocks?

A couple of days doesn’t a trend make, but the trading action in European wind stocks has caught my eye in the last week or so. Yesterday, Wednesday, March 30, wind turbine maker Vestas Wind Systems (VWDRY) gained 5.80%. That took the stock to a gain of 4.60% in the past week. The stock is down 2.26% for 2022 to date as of the March 30 close. Wind developer Orsted (DNNGY) was up 3.27% to bring its gain in the last week to 7.71%. The stock is down 3.88% for 2022 to date. With Europe looking to reduce its reliance on imports of Russian natural gas, increasing the region’s wind power capacity is one solution.

Bad news from China adds to global food crunch–add to positions in the DJP Bloomberg Commodity ETN

Bad news from China adds to global food crunch–add to positions in the DJP Bloomberg Commodity ETN

How does the lyric go (as sung by Albert King)? “If it wasn’t for bad luck, I would have no luck at all.” Maybe that song should be the theme song for the global food market right now. This month China’s agriculture minister Tang Renjian told colleagues at a high-profile government meeting in Beijing this month: “China faces big difficulties in food production because of the unusual floods last autumn. Many faming experts and technicians told us that crop conditions this year could be the worst in history.”

Australia ban on alumina shipments to Russia keeps aluminum rally hot

Australia ban on alumina shipments to Russia keeps aluminum rally hot

Australia has banned alumina shipments to Russia in response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The country is the source of 20% of the alumina used by Russia’s aluminum industry. Aluminum rose as much as 4.8% on the London Metal Exchange.The metal is now 25%for 2021. Shares of Alcoa (AA), which have been on a tear first on news of supply deficits and then on sanctions against Russian aluminum producers, gained 10.01% on Monday, March 21.

Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick Apple

Please watch my new YouTube video: Quick Pick Apple

This week, my Quick Pick is Apple (AAPL). I wrote a post about a month ago, saying that Apple would be a stock to buy place ahead of its new product event on March 9 (and the traditional fall announcement of more new products.). And I think the reveal yesterday had promising new products likely to boost sales. There’s a new iPad Air, an improved iPhone SE (the cheapest iPhone), and new generations of Mac computers all with Apple’s new in-house M1 chip. The stock has fallen a bit so far this year, but hasn’t been hammered as much as other tech stocks, and I think the potential for huge sales of these new items make it a good holding over the next year.

More disruptions to the global chip supply chain-I’ll do some trimming in the sector tomorrow by selling ASML, LRCX, and IFNNY

More disruptions to the global chip supply chain-I’ll do some trimming in the sector tomorrow by selling ASML, LRCX, and IFNNY

Right now investors and traders are getting a crash course in how vulnerable global supply chains are to disruption–especially when they become really extended. And how a supply chain disruption can ripple out in unexpected directions thanks to the complexity of many key products.
First, the Pandemic took a hammer to the complicated logistical systems required to get Commodity A to Sub-assembler B in order to make Consumer good C that would show up for sale around the world. Just in time inventory, it turned out, didn’t work very well when nothing arrived on time. Second, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has–or at least it should have–reminded us that global supply chains can resemble Whack-A-Mole.

Airline stocks take another whack on fears that higher jet fuel prices will require many to sell stock to raise capital

Airline stocks take another whack on fears that higher jet fuel prices will require many to sell stock to raise capital

As far as I’ve been able to discover, it was a research note from Wolfe Research that began the negative “rethink.” Wolfe forecast that the airlines including United Airlines (UAL) and American Airlines (AAL) were burning cash so fast because of the jump in the cost of jet fuel that they might need to sell stock to secure more liquidity.. The worry isn’t outlandish. Oil broke above $115 a barrel (for U.S. West Texas Intermediate) today and JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs have both recently projected that crude could rise to $185 a barrel by the end of 2022. Today shares of American Airlines (AA) were off 7.13%. United Airlines (UAL) dropped 9.07%. And Delta Air Lines (DAL) was down 5.63%.

Ford shares pop on EV/gas-powered split but no spin off–adding Ford to my Millennial Portfolio

Ford shares pop on EV/gas-powered split but no spin off–adding Ford to my Millennial Portfolio

Shares of Ford Motor (F) were up 7.01% as of noon on Wednesday, March 2, on news that the company would reorganize its auto operations into two distinct businesses—one that makes its gasoline-powered vehicles and and another that produces electric vehicles. But, the company said, it has no plans at the moment to spin off the electric vehicle business.

I’m adding Alcoa to my Jubak Picks Portfolio as a hedge against Ukraine risk and as a commodity boom play

I’m adding Alcoa to my Jubak Picks Portfolio as a hedge against Ukraine risk and as a commodity boom play

Today I’m adding shares of Alcoa (AA) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. At 3:10 p.m. today, February 18, the shares were up 2.01% on the day. My target price for the shares is $93. The pick is a short-term hedge against sanctions against Russia if the Ukraine/Russia conflict escalates further. Russia supplies 6% of the world’s aluminum and I’d expect European and U.S. sanctions to hit those exports. The pick is longer term bet on the continued rise in demand for aluminum and a continued and growing shortage of supply.

Please watch my new YouTube video : Steady vs. hot hands

Please watch my new YouTube video : Steady vs. hot hands

I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and second YouTube video “Strong hands vs. hot hands” went up today. Today I’m looking at a few stocks that exemplify what most experienced traders know: some hands are steady, and some are not. So when Nvidia announced this week that it expected to see supply chain issues (despite beating earnings and raising guidance), the stock fell. Similar things happened to chip-making equipment supplier Applied Materials and Albemarle, the lithium maker. I’m taking this opportunity to add some of these stocks into my portfolios. What about you?

Generac pops after earnings and guidance for 2022

Generac pops after earnings and guidance for 2022

Shares of Generac Holdings (GNRC), a maker of backup power systems, are up 14.05% at 3:45 p.m. New York time today, February 16, after the company reported fourth quarter earnings of $2.51 a share after the market close on Tuesday. Revenue hit $1.06 billion. Wall Street had been expecting earnings of $2.42 a share and revenue of $1.02 billion. For the full 2021 fiscal year net sales climbed 50% to a record $3.75 billion. Adjusted earnings were $9.63 a share. But it was guidance for 2022 that popped the stock.

Disney beats on revenue, earnings–and new streaming subscribers

Disney beats on revenue, earnings–and new streaming subscribers

So much for fears the Disney (DIS) would follow the disappointing course plotted by Netflix (NFLX) and report disappointing numbers for new subscriptions to its Disney Plus streaming service. For the December quarter, the company’s first quarter of fiscal 2022, Disney Plus added 11.8 million subscribers, easily beating analyst projections for 7.3 million new subscribers.

Natural gas–especially liquified natural gas–looks set to continue move higher

Natural gas–especially liquified natural gas–looks set to continue move higher

The Independent Commodity Intelligence Services published its supply/demand outlook for liquified natural gas today, Monday, February 7. The conclusion: Higher supply deficits for 2022 despite the addition of 24 million tons of LNG capacity in 2021. ICIS projects that supplies will increase by just 5.3 million tons in 2022. Demand is forecast to increase by 13.8 million tons.