April 18, 2022 | Daily JAM, Videos |
My one-hundredth-and-twenty-second YouTube video “Trend of the Week: A Summer Rally for Two Underdog Tech Stocks” went up today. This week’s video looks at the implications of the coming “summer rally” for 2 tech stocks that have been pounded this year: Qualcomm (QCOM) and SentinelOne (S).
March 8, 2022 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
Right now investors and traders are getting a crash course in how vulnerable global supply chains are to disruption–especially when they become really extended. And how a supply chain disruption can ripple out in unexpected directions thanks to the complexity of many key products.
First, the Pandemic took a hammer to the complicated logistical systems required to get Commodity A to Sub-assembler B in order to make Consumer good C that would show up for sale around the world. Just in time inventory, it turned out, didn’t work very well when nothing arrived on time. Second, the Russian invasion of Ukraine has–or at least it should have–reminded us that global supply chains can resemble Whack-A-Mole.
November 19, 2021 | Daily JAM, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My seventy-first YouTube video “QuickPick Qualcomm” went up today.
November 18, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
In my YouTube video posted today I dismissed (pretty much) my worry that this rally was getting narrower and therefore closer to a nasty end. Nvidia (NVDA), up 8.85% at the close ) I noted had dragged a few chip stocks with it after the company reported a significant earnings beat and increase in guidance yesterday. For the day Qualcomm (QCOM) was up 1.63% and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) ahead 1.86%. But stocks as a whole didn’t join in and some recent bellwether stocks actually retreated with Coca-Cola (KO) off 0.96%, Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) down 1.87%, and Disney (DIS) lower by 1.11%. Not good. What you’d like to see as more stocks join in–the rally gets broader–as prices go up if you’re looking for evidence that a rally might continue for a while. But, I noted in my video, not all is lost. Big tech stocks, which have largely been left on the sidelines in the rally, were up strongly today wit Amazon (AMZN) gaining 3.78% and Apple (AAPL) higher by 3.05%. If this group starts to participate the rally would be likely to have another leg. However, that’s not my only worry about this rally. I’m seeing evidence that the gains being racked up by stocks such as Nvidia, Qualcomm, and Apple are based on increasing vague speculation about trends that are way, way off in the future.
November 17, 2021 | AMAT, AMD, Daily JAM, F, Mid Term, QCOM, Special Reports |
Tolstoy was wrong when he wrote at the beginning of Anna Karenina that “All happy stock markets are alike; each unhappy market is unhappy in its own way.” (That’s what it says in the original Russian, I swear.) Truth is that all happy stock markets are different.
There are the long rallies from valuation bottoms that come after a disaster like the Global Financial Crisis and the Great Recession. There are the sharp quick explosive moves higher that come after the passing of a panic with less damage than expected like that after the Pandemic meltdown in the spring of 2020. And, among all the other happy markets, there are the market melt ups that come after a long bull market has already driven valuations to nose-bleed levels. Sometimes that melt up turns out to be the final blow out stage that comes before a big correction–but not always. And sometimes the melt up just drives stocks to a high where they stagnate while fundamentals catch up with prices. I believe we’re in the midst of a market melt up now. In this Special Report I’m going to outline the ways in which this “happy” market is different; give you advice on how to adapt this rally to your portfolio goals; and finally give you 10 picks for profiting from this melt-up.
January 22, 2021 | Daily JAM |
After barely dragging higher over the last month, big tech stocks turned red hot this week. And next week, when we get earnings from Microsoft (MSFT), APPLE (AAPL) and Facebook (FB) could be even hotter.
January 8, 2021 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks, TSM |
Today, January 8, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), the worlds largest contract chipmaker, reported December sales that translate into record quarterly revenue with estimated sales in the quarter climbing to $12.9 billion (361.5 NT$). (The company reports its quarter on January 14.) The projections based on December revenue amount to a 25% increase in revenue in 2020 from 2019.
December 24, 2020 | Daily JAM, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. The third YouTube video on What Apple and Microsoft’s moves on Intel mean for technology stocks went up today.
November 10, 2020 | Daily JAM, Dip-O-Meter, Mid Term |
The recent drop in the prices of technology shares--the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) was down 1.86% today, November 10, after retreating 0.72% yesterday, November 9, certainly draws the eye of any investor or trader looking for potential bargains. We're not at...
October 5, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
I'm willing to bet against the Tooth Fairy and the Easter Bunny, but in this market, in the very short term, I'm not willing to bet against the market's faith that there will be another coronavirus stimulus package--soon--to boost the U.S. economy and prevent an...
September 8, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
The NASDAQ Composite was down an already punishing 2.75% at noon in New York. But the damage wasn't done for the day. The tech-heavy index closed the day down 4.11% And the big techs, the stocks that had driven the rally up and are now pacing the move down, sold off...
June 30, 2020 | Daily JAM, Notes You Need |
In my daily trawling through the market I come upon lots of tidbits of knowledge that I think are important to investors but that don't justify a full post. I've decided to start compiling these notes here each day in a kind of running mini blog that I'm calling Notes...