They’re back! Fears of a slowdown in growth in 2019, that is
Remember last week? Markets were running over with optimism that growth in the U.S. and global economies continue strong in 2019, that the U.S.-China trade war was headed to a resolution, that earnings growth in reports for the fourth quarter would be above...
Why I can’t put away my bear market worries: #1 Hong Kong overnight
Did you see what happened in Hong Kong overnight? The major Hong Kong Index, the Hang Seng was down slightly, dropping 0.54% on the session. But a smaller group of stocks in the Hong Kong market got slaughtered. Jiayuan International Group, Sunshine 100 China Holdings...
Asian manufacturing data spur stock tumble
It's not just China anymore. Unfortunately. The Caixin Media and IHS Markit Purchasing Managers Index for China's manufacturing sector fell to 49.7 in December  from 50.2, its lowest reading since May 2017. That confirms a trend seen in the official government PMI on...
Adding VIX Call Options to my Volatility Portfolio for bear market protection
I'm taking advantage of the 25% drop in the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) to add March 19, 2019 Call Options at a strike price of $26.00 (VIX190319C00026000) to my Volatility Portfolio today. Â The VIX, otherwise know as the fear index, climbs when investors...
Adding Netflix Puts to Volatility Portfolio because the Bear isn’t over
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...
Completely and newly revised for the bear: Special Report How to Protect Your Portfolio Without Selling Your Portfolio
This Special Report was revised--extensively- on December 21. When I posted the first version of this Special Report back in November, the bear market was just a possibility--although a highly likely possibility--and my best projection on how the market would develop...
Selling AAPL, FCX, NKTR, PXD, VIX options out of Volatility Portfolio on likelihood of continued downward trend in the market and looming expirations
In November and December I selectively added risk to my Volatility Portfolio in the expectation of a strong seasonal January Effect Rally and the odds of an end of the year bounce that would, temporarily, disrupt the developing bear market. I thought that was a...
Trick or Trend: Clearly volatility is climbing–
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Sunday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. The...Good news and bad news on risk today after Trump-Xi “success”
To subscribe to JAM you need to fill in some details below including, ahem, some info on how you'll pay us. A subscription is $199 (although if you're subscribing with one of our special offers it will be lower) for a year for ongoing and continuing access to the...
How low can the VIX volatility index go?
The trend is still down, in my opinion, despite today's slight gain in the volatility index. The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX), often called the "fear index" because it measures how much traders and investors are willing to pay to hedge risk in the S&P...
Special Report Complete: How to Protect Your Portfolio Without Selling Your Portfolio–Part 1 why this is such an “odd” correction, Part 2 my risk assessment calendar, and Part 3 my five Protection Picks
Scary market, huh? Completely unpredictable it seems, right? Up on Tuesday October 30 with the Standard & Poor's ahead 1.57% at the close and the technology-heavy NASDAQ Composite ahead 1.58%. Quite a turn about from the previous day when the S&P 500 finished...Jim’s Stock Alerts
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