Congress faces another shut down deadline on September 30

Congress faces another shut down deadline on September 30

Congress returned to Washington today facing a September 30 deadline to pass legislation to keep the government open after the last stop-gap funding measure expires on September 30, the end of the 20214 fiscal year. The consensus view seems to be that there’s little to worry about and that Congress will, of course, cobble together another extension so close to the Presidential election. But we are talking about Congress, remember. It’s never a good idea to completely discount an act of astounding stupidity from Capitol Hill.

Saturday Night Quarterback says, For the week ahead expect…

Saturday Night Quarterback says, For the week ahead expect…

There’s a good possibility of an AI “nothing-burger” from Apple (AAPL) on Monday, September 9, when the company rolls out its latest iPhones. Which are supposed to mark Apple’s advent as a serious smartphone AI player. All indications are, however, that Apple’s AI features on the iPhone will be distinctly underwhelming. And that’s a potential problem for the stock-up 15.08% for 2024 and ahead 13.67% for the last three months as of the close on September 6.

Jobs number weak enough to raise fears for the economy but not weak enough to cement 50 basis point cut on September 18

Jobs number weak enough to raise fears for the economy but not weak enough to cement 50 basis point cut on September 18

Today’s employment t report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics was the worst of both worlds. The increase in jobs of just 142,000 in August, coupled with downward revisions from June and July was enough to raise fears that the economy is stalling. And that the Federal Reserve had waited too long to cut interest rates. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of forecasters called for 165,000 new jobs win the month. But the employment number, which left the three-month average of new jobs created at the lowest since mid-2020, wasn’t bad enough to convince traders and investors that the Fed would cut interest rates by 50 basis points at its September 18 meeting.

Adding Kenvue (KVUE) to my Dividend Portfolio

Adding Kenvue (KVUE) to my Dividend Portfolio

Kenvue (KVUEO) isn’t exactly new. As a stand-alone stock, Kenvue dates back only to May 2023, but the company is a spin off of Johnson & Johnson’s (JNJ) consumer division. The owner of household consumer names that include Tylenol, Nicorette, Listerine, and Zyrtec, Kenvue is the world’s largest pure-play consumer health company by sales. The stock closed on September 5 with a yield of 3.64%. Morningstar calculates that the shares are 16% undervalued and puts a $26 target price on the shares. The stock closed at $22.51 on September 5. I’m adding the stock to my Dividend Portfolio tomorrow. With the Federal Reserve extremely like to begin cutting interest rates at its September 18 meeting, a lot of investors are looking for higher yield with slid safety. I think Kenvue offers exactly that combination.

August deja vu? Bank of Japan says it will raise rates; U.S. stocks tumble

August deja vu? Bank of Japan says it will raise rates; U.S. stocks tumble

Coincidence? On Tuesday September 3 Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated that the central bank will continue to raise interest rates if inflation continues in Japan. And on Tuesday U.S. stocks plunged. Sure seems like a replay of the August rout when U.S. markets fell as the Bank od Japan raised interest rates, the yen gained, and traders looked to close speculative yen carry trade bets by selling dollar-denominated assets in order to pay back yen loans that threatened to get more expensive with a rising Japanese currency.

The last inflation report before the Fed meets leaves a September rate cut locked in

The last inflation report before the Fed meets leaves a September rate cut locked in

Today August 30 the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, showed core prices rose by just 0.2% in June. On a three-month annualized basis, core inflation, which doesn’t include volatile food and energy prices, climbed at a 1.7% rate, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported. That’s the slowest rate of increase this year.

Buying more Nvidia on the best dip I think we’ll get

Buying more Nvidia on the best dip I think we’ll get

I was hoping that Nvidia (NVDA) would take a bigger dip on its “disappointing” earnings news last week. But a 7% or so drop looks like the best we’ll get. And I certainly want to own these shares before the revenue from the new Blackwell chips kicks in during 2025. I already own these shares in my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio. Today I’m adding them to my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio. The bad news out of Nvidia last week in its August 28 earnings report?