Jubak Picks
June 24, 2021 | CAT, Daily JAM, DE, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks, VMC |
The White House has announced that it has struck an infrastructure deal with a bipartisan group of 10 Senators. There are almost no details on the deal and it’s not at all clear that President Biden will be able to convince the progressive wing of his own party to support the deal. On the other side of the aisle, Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell has not endorsed the deal. As I do the math, if only the 5 Republican Senators who were part of the negotiating group vote for the deal in the Senate, it will fail to clear the 60-vote threshold necessary for passage if McConnell and other Republicans decide to filibuster the legislation. All that aside, today the usual infrastructure stocks gained.
June 23, 2021 | COPX, Daily JAM, Dividend Income, FCX, FQVLF, Jubak Picks, Millennial, SCCO, Top 50 Stocks |
Copper stocks have been moving steadily higher recently in anticipation of a turn in the eight week downward trend in the price of copper itself. Today, the price of copper is showing some of the upward movement that the rally in copper stocks anticipated.
June 21, 2021 | Daily JAM, Dividend Income, FCX, Jubak Picks, NVDA, SCCO, Short Term, Special Reports, Top 50 Stocks, Volatility |
After Wednesday’s news from the Federal Reserve, we all know that an interest rate increase is coming–even if we don’t know when. Could be 2022. Could be 2023. And even if we don’t know how many increases we’re looking for in that time period. Could be one. Could be two. The need to revise your portfolio to take that change in monetary policy is obvious. But figuring out how and when isn’t by any means straightforward. What gives? And how should be navigate a period that is almost certainly going to end with a reversal of the lower for longer interest rates that have dominated asset prices for decades? Today, for the last installment in my Special Report: “5 Picks and 5 Hedges for a Falling Market” I’m going to take one last run at how to hedge this market and how to position your portfolio for the developing trends. (I don’t have much hope that this will be the last time I’m visiting this topic, of course.)
June 16, 2021 | Daily JAM, F, GM, Jubak Picks |
General Motors (GM) will boost global spending on electric and autonomous vehicles to $35 billion through 2025. That’s a 30% jump over its last spending plan, Reuters reported today.
June 13, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Millennial, Stock Alerts |
I posted Friday, June 11, that investors looking for a theme to buy in an expensive market had turned to Cyber Security stocks. Makes sense, I noted, with ransomware attacks running at a fast pace and forecast pointing to even more attacks on corporate and government systems in the months (years?) ahead. I wrote that in this sector I already owned Palo Alto Networks in my Jubak Picks Portfolio where the stock is up 79% since I added this position on June 27, 2019, and in my 50 Stocks Portfolio where it is up 50% since I added this position on January 21, 2020, and in my new Millennial Portfolio where the position is up 0.94% since I added it on May 21, 2021. And that I would be adding another Cyber Security stock, CrowdStrike Holdings, to my Jubak Picks and Millennial portfolios on Monday, June 14
June 11, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Millennial, Top 50 Stocks |
Investors looking for a theme to buy in an expensive market where the Standard & Poor’s 500 hit a new all-time high yesterday today, June 11, looked to Cyber Security stocks. And why not with the newest round of ransomware attacks clearly not the last effort by hackers to break into corporate networks.
June 9, 2021 | Daily JAM, F, Jubak Picks |
Today I made Ford (F) my fifth pick for a falling market in my Special Report: Five Picks and Five Hedges for a Falling Market on my JubakAM.com subscription site. Some of the logic of that pick is laid in n more detail in the Special Report. With momentum stocks showing signs of flagging, I think adding more value stocks or special situations with very specific growth “events” set to trigger a cascade of good news is indicated. In the case of Ford the company is building good momentum on its introduction of popular electric vehicles such as an electric Mustang and an electric F150 pickup truck.
June 8, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, Special Reports |
Before I get around to making the fifth and final stock pick in this Special Report: 5 picks and 5 Hedges for a Falling Market, let me take a moment to bring my survey of market conditions up to date. Where we are now has a strong influence on what stocks to own and buy and on how to hedge against any downturn. The question I’ve asked in the headline to this post is the critical one now: What happens when a momentum market loses its momentum? I think investors and traders can answer that question by just looking around them.
June 2, 2021 | Daily JAM, DNNGY, Jubak Picks, SMOG, VWDRY |
I don’t think 2021 is going to be an especially good year for Tesla and it will be tough across the auto industry. That means, if I’m right, that this ETF’s heavy exposure to Tesla (and to Nio) is going to be a drag on what I see as a likely recovery in the wind power stocks Iberdrola, Orsted, and Vestas Wind Systems that all are top 10 portfolio holdings in the ETF. I’d rather play any wind power rally through these stocks–I own Orsted (DNNGY) and Vestas (VWDRY) in my Jubak Picks Portfolio–than though this ETF with its drag from Tesla in 2021. I will sell the VanEck Vectors Low Carbon Energy ETF out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio tomorrow June 3.
May 25, 2021 | Daily JAM, EQNR, Jubak Picks, Stock Alerts |
Oil prices have bounced back big time and with them the prices on oil stocks. I still think the long-term trend is against oil producers as efforts to combat global warming lead to lower consumption of fossil fuels. And I’d prefer not to own any oil and natural gas shares–even in as “progressive” a company as Equinor. I’m going to take advantage of the rally in oil prices to sell these shares out of my Jubak Picks Portfolio with a small 0.9% gain since I established that position in May 2012.
May 24, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Volatility |
Gold closed up today, May 24, by 0.27% to $1884.00 an ounce for August delivery on the COMEX. That took the metal to its highest price since its January 5 high for 2021 at $1954. The rally in gold from a March 8 low at $1678 an ounce, has not only brought gold near breakeven for 2021, but is pressing against resistance near $1900 an ounce. Gold has posted three straight weekly gains. No secret what’s been driving gold higher: fears of rising inflation.
May 21, 2021 | AMAT, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks |
The chip shortage that has hurt technology companies such as Apple (AAPL) and hammered auto producers continues to pay dividends to Applied Materials (AMAT), the dominant manufacturer of equipment used to make semiconductors. Yesterday, May 20, after the market close in New York, Applied Materials reported fiscal second-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.63 a share against 89 cents a share in the second quarter of the last fiscal year. Revenue rose to $5.58 billion from $3.96 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2020.
