April 19, 2023 | BABA, Daily JAM, FXI, JD, Videos |
Today’s topic is China’s Economy is Back. On April 18, China reported 4.5% year-over-year GDP growth for the first quarter. While it wasn’t the 5% growth rate that the Chinese government has set as a target, it was better than the 4% forecast by economists. This growth rate comes on the heels of a 4th quarter with only 2.9% year-over-year growth. Other numbers showed strength too. For example, retail sales rose 10.6% year-over-year beating forecasts of 7.4%. But the economy isn’t cooking on all burners: Industrial production was up only 3.9%, just missing the forecasts of 4%. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI) is a good way to buy into China’s economy. There was a big rally from November to December as investors anticipated China’s economy speeding out of its Covid slump. But that rally was followed by a drop as the Chinese economy struggled with a resurgence in Covid cases. Now we’re seeing that drop start turn around. Individual stocks like Alibaba (BABA) and JD.com (JD) show charts with a similar pattern and can be expected to start to climb as the economy continues to pick up.
February 8, 2022 | BABA, Daily JAM, FXI, JD, Morning Briefing, Perfect Five-ETFs, TCEHY, Top 50 Stocks |
With the end of the Lunar New Year holiday and the reopening of China’s stock markets, China’s state-backed investment funds have started buying shares of the Chinese stocks traded on U.S. markets. The move follows actions by the People’s Bank of China to inject cash into the economy and financial markets.
August 19, 2021 | BABA, Daily JAM, JD, TCEHY, Top 50 Stocks, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My forty-second YouTube video “3 China stocks to buy but not now”-went up today.
March 8, 2021 | Daily JAM, FXY, JD, Jubak Picks, VGIT, Volatility |
Let’s be clear. I don’t have any idea of when the current selling in technology and high-valuation growth momentum stocks will end. It does seem likely to me, even after the March 9 bounce, that the rotation into cyclicals, vaccine recovery stocks, and value stocks will continue for a while. From that perspective, I’m glad that I added Invesco KBWB Bank ETF (KBWB), Vulcan Materials (VMC), Caterpillar (CAT), MGM Resorts International (MGM) and Coca Cola (KO) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio since the middle of February. And that I added Dow (DOW) and Citigroup (C) to my Dividend Portfolio in Mid-December. (All those picks are in the black since my purchase date. You can check the online portfolios to see by how much.) But now that the NASDAQ Composite has dropped into an official correction–down 10% from its February 12 high–I’d like to be holding some more cash in case
July 16, 2020 | Daily JAM, JD, MPNGF, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
The Chinese economy returned to growth in the second quarter with gross domestic product climbing 3.2% in the quarter from the June quarter of 2019. That was a recovery from the 6.8% drop in GDP in the first quarter and the results beat projections for 2.4% growth....
July 14, 2020 | Daily JAM, JD, Volatility |
Of course, China's government isn't exactly giving away money. But Beijing has embarked on one of its periodic efforts to talk stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen and Hong Kong higher and then higher some more. On Monday July 6 the CSI 300 Index, which tracks the 300...
January 28, 2020 | Daily JAM, JD, Stock Alerts |
In my thinking we've still got a way to go before markets can breathe a true sigh of relief and put coronavirus fears behind them. And move onto worrying about other things like economic growth rates in China, rising debt levels, and earnings growth for U.S. stocks in...
November 12, 2019 | Daily JAM, JD, Stock Alerts |
Last time I owned Alibaba (BABA) e-commerce competitor JD.Com (JD) I got a 25% short-term pop. I think it's time to go back to that trade again. JD.Com sold $29.17 billion in goods during the recently completed Singles' Day shopping frenzy. That was a new record for...
November 10, 2019 | BABA, Daily JAM, DIS, JD, TCEHY |
...company specific events on Monday and Tuesday to start the week with a bang of news. First, there's the Singles' Day e-commence juggernaut that kicked off today (Monday in China.) Last year this shopping frenzy, which began as a day to celebrate being single (from...
May 23, 2019 | Daily JAM, JD, Short Term, TPR, Volatility, You Might Have Missed |
This morning Wall Street is buzzing with talk that the U.S.-China trade war could stretch on to 2035. I think there's just about no chance of that. But we aren't looking at the quick resolution of the dispute that seemed possible just 10 days ago. And we are looking...
March 30, 2019 | Daily JAM, Friday Trick or Trend, JD |
Our regular (or occasional or perhaps occasionally regular) Friday series (actually running on Saturday this week) Trick or Trend looks at what might (or might not) be emerging investible trends. Exclusively on JAM. This post won't run anywhere else. Ever. We've heard...
January 21, 2019 | Daily JAM, JD, Stock Alerts, Volatility |
JD.Com (JD) is my last purely China pick for this list of 10 Best Buy Stocks for after the Bear. The company has increased its share of the business to consumer eCommerce market to 19.5% in 2014 from 17.2% in 2011, according to iResearch. And grown its share of the...