May 23, 2022 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
The most important indicator of market direction and sentiment this week will be Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings report for the quarter that ended in April on Wednesday, May 25\ Wall Street analysts and expect earnings of $1.09 a share. Last year Nvidia reported 78 cents for the quarter so hitting the analyst target this year would represented year over year earnings growth of 39.7% That kind of earnings growth is what investors expect from a stock trading at 43.76 times trailing 12-month earnings per share. In a normal market I’d expect traders to bid up Nvidia shares and Call options ahead of earnings
May 17, 2022 | ALB, Daily JAM, DAL, DE, DIS, FQVLF, Long Term, MRVL, NVDA, PFE, SCCO, USB, Volatility |
In my weekend Saturday Night Quarterback I said that this week would, probably, answer the question of whether Friday’s big bounce was just a bounce, the start of a buy on the dip rally, or even a bear market rally with a bit of staying power. Two days into the week I think the market action is moving in favor of a bear market rally, one of those often quite powerful upside moves that punctuate extended bear markets.
April 5, 2022 | AMD, C, Daily JAM, KBWB, Long Term, NVDA, Special Reports, WFC |
I think these financial market curves will let you map out the longer stories of Federal Reserve interest rate increases and a potential recession–and then chart the shorter stories of war in the Ukraine, global oil and natural gas crunches, summer Pandemic relief, global food crisis, computer chip shortages (and whatever else you think might be important) under those longer curves. That will let you decide when to buy and sell (and what) in order to profit from short-term stories while preparing your portfolio for the longer arcs.
February 17, 2022 | ALB, AMAT, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Millennial, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and second YouTube video “Strong hands vs. hot hands” went up today. Today I’m looking at a few stocks that exemplify what most experienced traders know: some hands are steady, and some are not. So when Nvidia announced this week that it expected to see supply chain issues (despite beating earnings and raising guidance), the stock fell. Similar things happened to chip-making equipment supplier Applied Materials and Albemarle, the lithium maker. I’m taking this opportunity to add some of these stocks into my portfolios. What about you?
February 16, 2022 | Daily JAM, NVDA, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks |
After the close today, Nvidia (NVDA) reported fourth quarter earnings of $1.32 a share (versus analyst projections of $1.22) and revenue of $7.6 billion (versus expectations for $7.42 billion). As of 4:45 the stock has trading down $1.09 in the after-hours market. In my opinion that’s likely a result of a big run up in the stock before earnings. The stock gained 11% from February 11 through the close today, February 16. From January 27, a low in the recent downturn in Nvidia shares, to today’s close the shares are up 21%.
February 14, 2022 | Daily JAM, Millennial, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
Traders and investors look to be anticipating a big earnings beat from Nvidia after competitor Advanced Micro Devices delivered good news in its earnings report. The Wall Street consensus is that Nvidia will report $1.01 a share for the quarter, up from 64 cents a share in the year earlier period. But the course of the stock after earnings is likely to have more to do with news, if any, on a chip that Nvidia announced at the January 2022 Consumer Electronics Show.
January 7, 2022 | AMZN, Daily JAM, MSFT, NVDA, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My eighty-fourth YouTube video “3 Picks for When the Tech Selling Stops” went up today.
December 7, 2021 | AAPL, AMAT, ASML, Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, NVDA, NXPI |
Here we go again. It’s not that we really have any more information about the Omicron Variant–we certainly don’t know what its effects will be on global economic acuity–but just as fears that the Covid-19 variant would send the world back into lockdown crushed stocks last week, this morning, December 7, a belief that Omicron won’t be all that bad has taken root and stocks are soaring in morning action.
December 2, 2021 | Daily JAM, Millennial, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
Today, December 2, the Federal Trade Commission sued to block Nvidia’s (NVDA) $40 billion acquisition of ARM. “The FTC is suing to block the largest semiconductor chip merger in history to prevent a chip conglomerate from stifling the innovation pipeline for next-generation technologies,” Holly Vedova, director of the commission’s Bureau of Competition, said in the statement.
November 17, 2021 | Daily JAM, Millennial, Morning Briefing, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
On Saturday I posted that Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings report on November 17–that is today–and the market reaction to the company’s quarterly earnings report would tell us a lot about market sentiment and the magnitude of any year-end, market melt up rally.
Wall Street analysts were projecting that the company would announced earnings of 95 cents a share for the quarter that ended in October. That would be a huge 58% increase from the 60 cents a share reported for the October 2020 quarter, I
But, I worried, that much of that number was already in the share price. The stock was up 47% in the last month and 133% for the year to the November 15 close. Would the stock drop if all the company did was meet expectations?
November 8, 2021 | Daily JAM, Millennial, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
When I started Special Report for how to Buy on the Dip, What to Buy on the Dip and When to Buy on the Dip I was only looking to have three strategies (and 10 picks). The more I look at the current market, the more complex it seems with more moving parts that could generate an Oh, No! moment for this stock or that stock.Which is why, in my last update to this Special Report, I added a fourth strategy, one I’m calling “The China bomb” and four more picks to my Buy on the Dip Special Report. Today, I’m going to complete this Special Report with this post on the strategy that was, initially, going to be Strategy #3 (when there were just three strategies in the report.) Because I inserted “The China Bomb” strategy as a new Strategy #3, the original Strategy #3, Buy on the Regret, got bumped to today’s Strategy #4.
October 18, 2021 | AMAT, AMD, AMSC, ASML, Daily JAM, EVGO, F, FCX, Jubak Picks, Mid Term, Millennial, NJDCY, NVDA, SEDG, Special Reports, TSLA, Volatility, VWAPY |
Yes, we want to buy on the dip. Whenever we get a significant dip. (And significant to me is 5% or more in the major indexes–and 10% or more in specific sectors.) But, we need new strategies for buying on the dip that take into account the market’s valuation problem, the central bank tightening that looks to be in the cards, and the real possibility of a dip in growth below forecasts in 2022. I’ve got fouir strategies to suggest for buying in this market on these dips. And 14 picks to use to execute those strategies.