Z-SYMBOLS
March 4, 2022 | Daily JAM, DAL, Jubak Picks |
As far as I’ve been able to discover, it was a research note from Wolfe Research that began the negative “rethink.” Wolfe forecast that the airlines including United Airlines (UAL) and American Airlines (AAL) were burning cash so fast because of the jump in the cost of jet fuel that they might need to sell stock to secure more liquidity.. The worry isn’t outlandish. Oil broke above $115 a barrel (for U.S. West Texas Intermediate) today and JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs have both recently projected that crude could rise to $185 a barrel by the end of 2022. Today shares of American Airlines (AA) were off 7.13%. United Airlines (UAL) dropped 9.07%. And Delta Air Lines (DAL) was down 5.63%.
March 4, 2022 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Videos, YARIY |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and ninth YouTube video “Quick Pick Yara International” went up today. This week, my Quick Pick is Yara International (YARIY), a Norwegian producer of fertilizer. In yesterday’s video I recommended adding exposure to agricultural commodities to your portfolio as the Russian invasion of Ukraine rumbles on. I like Yara because of that short-term story as well as its long-term focus on green agriculture and decarbonizing the food chain using Norway’s supplies of hydropower to produce green ammonia. I added the stock to my 2-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio on January 18. It was down 14% since then as of the close on March 4.
March 2, 2022 | Daily JAM, F, Jubak Picks, Millennial, Stock Alerts |
Shares of Ford Motor (F) were up 7.01% as of noon on Wednesday, March 2, on news that the company would reorganize its auto operations into two distinct businesses—one that makes its gasoline-powered vehicles and and another that produces electric vehicles. But, the company said, it has no plans at the moment to spin off the electric vehicle business.
March 1, 2022 | DAC, Daily JAM, NMM, Volatility |
Back in October 2021 (on October 7 to be exact) I added shares of Danaos (DAC) and Navios Maritime Partners (NMM) to my Volatility Portfolio. Disruptions in the global supply chain had produced a bidding war by companies willing to pay almost anything to get their goods, components, and raw materials from Point A to Point B. And these two shipping giants were positioned to reap the rewards of that chaos. Today, though, the chaos is on the other foot (so to speak).
February 28, 2022 | CMI, Daily JAM |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and seventh YouTube video “Trend of the Week Auto Supply Stocks” went up today. Two big deals for auto suppliers have Wall Street excited! Last week, Cummins (CMI) bought Meritor (MTOR) and Apollo Group bought Tenneco (TEN). These stocks jumped up in part because they were so undervalued and cheap before, but it also points to a larger trend: with the ongoing transition to EVs, makers of auto parts that can be put to use in that process will be increasingly important. That’s why I’m recommending you look at Dana (DAN), BorgWarner (BWA), and American Axle (AXL). As well as Cummins, the buyer in one of these deals
February 28, 2022 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, S, Stock Alerts |
You didn’t expect Russian President Vladimir Putin to just shrug at Western sanctions that now include theU.S. Treasury clamping serious restrictions on Russia’s central bank, did you? Putin has banned all Russian residents from transferring hard currency abroad, including for servicing foreign loan contracts. Russia has $478 billion in external debt. Much of that is now in danger of default. (It’s not clear to me how this helps the Russian economy. Anyone want to lend or do business with a country that says, “Hey, forget about getting paid?) Today in New York trading, it’s clear that U.S. traders and investors don’t think these moves are Putin’s last. Cybersecurity stocks are soaring. And why not since Russia and it hacker gangs are about to demonstrate exactly why everybody needs to buy more security software. Which is why I’m adding shares of SentinelOne to my Jubak Picks Portfolio today.
February 27, 2022 | COP, Daily JAM, DAL, EQNR, Jubak Picks, LNG, PXD, Volatility |
On Saturday the European Union nations that control SWIFT, the dominant global network connecting banks, announced that they would expel some specific Russian banks from the network. The U.S., Canada, and the United Kingdom agreed with the move. The U.S. and its European allies left open the question of sanctions directly on Russia’s central bank.
The move to deny access to SWIFT means that the named Russian banks, and I’m not naming them because I haven’t been able to find a list, won’t be able to pay other banks or receive funds from other banks. They will not be able to transact business with international banks over the SWIFT network for their client businesses. I’d expect that out of an abundance of understandable caution, many Western banks will refuse to do business with Russian banks at all.
February 24, 2022 | Daily JAM, Dividend Income, PXD, Videos |
This week my Quick Pick is Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD). I don’t like oil and gas companies in the long term (hello, global warming), but in the short term I like companies that are exercising restraint in spending on further exploration and development. With oil prices rising, Pioneer is set to generate high positive cash flows in the short term. That surplus will be distributed in the company’s two-tier dividend structure, giving investors a nice pot of money. I’ve added Pioneer to my Dividend Portfolio
February 24, 2022 | CRWD, Daily JAM, DAL, EQNR, Jubak Picks, LNG, Millennial, Morning Briefing, PXD, Top 50 Stocks |
With the Russian invasion of Ukraine about to trigger another package of tougher U.S. and European sanctions, I think we can expect Russia to delver on Vladimir Putin’s promise of retaliation. The most obvious form of that will be cyberattacks on U.S. infrastructure, like the Colonial Pipeline attack, on U.S. financial systems through hacking to steal customer information and denial of service attacks, and on attacks to break into U.S. corporate networks to either paralyze those networks or to effectively put them off line. I wouldn’t rule out attacks on government infrastructure either at local, state, and national levels.
February 21, 2022 | CHPT, Daily JAM, EVGO, Millennial, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and fourth YouTube video “Trend of the Week: Electric Vehicle Charging Stocks” went up today. This week I’m talking about electric vehicle charging stocks. You may have heard me talk about these in the past. However, these stocks have been hammered so far in 2022, so right now they are cheap. Why are they worth buying? Because we know that the U.S. government has already allocated $5 billion to build charging stations around the country. We haven’t seen the upside of that yet! I currently own EVGO and CHPT in my portfolios.
February 18, 2022 | AA, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks |
Today I’m adding shares of Alcoa (AA) to my Jubak Picks Portfolio. At 3:10 p.m. today, February 18, the shares were up 2.01% on the day. My target price for the shares is $93. The pick is a short-term hedge against sanctions against Russia if the Ukraine/Russia conflict escalates further. Russia supplies 6% of the world’s aluminum and I’d expect European and U.S. sanctions to hit those exports. The pick is longer term bet on the continued rise in demand for aluminum and a continued and growing shortage of supply.
February 17, 2022 | ALB, AMAT, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Millennial, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My one-hundredth-and second YouTube video “Strong hands vs. hot hands” went up today. Today I’m looking at a few stocks that exemplify what most experienced traders know: some hands are steady, and some are not. So when Nvidia announced this week that it expected to see supply chain issues (despite beating earnings and raising guidance), the stock fell. Similar things happened to chip-making equipment supplier Applied Materials and Albemarle, the lithium maker. I’m taking this opportunity to add some of these stocks into my portfolios. What about you?
