July 30, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Special Reports, V |
Long-term bucket pick #4: Visa (V). Think of Visa not as a credit card but as a network. We know from watching other networks–Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL), for example that a the more customers are plugged into a network, the more attractive that network is for merchants, and therefore the more convenient the network is for consumers. All this adds up to extraordinary profitability with operating margins of 65% in 2020
July 29, 2021 | AMD, Daily JAM, Volatility |
I got another 50% pop (aso f 3:30 p.m. New York time) today in the price of the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) September 17, 2021 Call Options with a strike price of $92.50 (AMD210917C0009250). I’m going to take my profits here. With the end of earnings season in the next two weeks, I think the risk/reward ratio for holding stocks is shifting toward risk. And I’d rather be more in cash rather than less as we head into what I see as a volatile fall.
July 28, 2021 | BABA, Daily JAM, MPNGF, TCEHY, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My thirty-sixth YouTube video “Is China un-investable?”-went up today.
July 28, 2021 | AMD, Daily JAM, Volatility |
I expected the jump in the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Call Options (expiration of September 17 and strike at $90) before yesterday’s earnings report. Didn’t get it. Then. But today this option is up 72.17% to $9.90 on a 7.36% gain in the price of the shares to $97.74 (as of 2:20 p.m. New York time.) So I’m selling.
July 27, 2021 | Daily JAM, MSFT, Short Term, Volatility |
With everything tech (just about) selling off today (along with the rest of the market) and with the shares of the tech companies due to report today dropping as well, I think the odds have improved for a bounce in those reporting companies on earnings surprises. Microsoft (MSFT) is due to report today after the close and I think there’s a good likelihood that the company will post even better than expected numbers from its Azure Cloud business.
July 27, 2021 | AAPL, AMD, Daily JAM, MSFT, Short Term, Volatility |
As of 12:15 p.m. the Standard & Poor’s 500 was down .01% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lower by 0.75%. Tech stocks were down much more with the NASDAQ Composite off 1.85% and the NASDAQ 100 lower by 1.82%. The tech companies due to report earnings today after the close were all down. Apple (AAPL) was lower by 1.68%. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) had dropped 2.01%. And Microsoft (MSFT() was off 1.66%.
July 24, 2021 | AAPL, AMD, AMZN, Daily JAM, FB, GOOG, Jubak Picks, MSFT, Top 50 Stocks |
I hope it’s no surprise to you–I’ve been yammering away on this topic for the last two weeks after all–but next week is a big week for earnings from bellwether tech companies. The market reaction to those earnings will determine whether the current earnings based rally goes on for a while or if, instead, we get a sell on the news retreat. Tuesday, April 27, is the first big day with Apple (AAPL), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) all reporting.
July 23, 2021 | AMD, Daily JAM, Volatility |
The September 17 Call Options on Advanced Micro Devices with a strike price of $90 gained another 9.09% today. The company reports earnings after hours on Tuesday July 27. I’d certainly be thinking about selling and taking my profits on these options before the actual earnings announcement.
July 22, 2021 | Daily JAM, PYPL, Videos |
I’m starting up my videos on JubakAM.com again–this time using YouTube as a platform. My thirty-fifth YouTube video “QuickPick–For bank disruptors, buy Square” went up today.
July 21, 2021 | Daily JAM, NVDA |
Nvidia (NVDA) finally began trading at a price adjusted for the stock’s announced 4 for 1 split. At the close the shares traded at $194.10, a gain of $7.98 a share (or a pre-split $31.92 gain), up 4.29% on the day. The solid move higher bodes well for Nvidia’s future price trend since it argues that there are a significant number of investors who still want to climb on board.
July 20, 2021 | Daily JAM, NFLX |
Ater the close on Tuesday, July 19, Netflix reported second quarter results that showed a stunning slowdown in the growth of new subscribers. In the quarter Netflix added just 1.54 million new customers. All of the growth came from the Latin American and Asia-Pacific regions. Netflix los 430,000 customers in the U.S. and Canada market. Adding to the bad news the company projected that in the third quarter it would add just 3.5 million subscribers. That’s well below the Wall Street consensus projection of 5.86 million. In this context revenue and earnings are an afterthought.
July 20, 2021 | Daily JAM, QRVO, Volatility |
Just a reminder: To profit from anticipation of strong and maybe even better than expected tech stock earnings using Call Options, you want to buy the options before the actual earnings announcement. You’re betting on a rush to get in on the good earnings news before the actual news. Which means that if you’re looking to buy Call Options on Apple (AAPL) or Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) you want to do it NOW, since these companies announce second quarter earnings next week on July 27. Here are my preferences in tech stocks earnings options play