February 26, 2021 | CRM, CTVA, Daily JAM, ILMN, ISRG, Jubak Picks, PANW, Top 50 Stocks, VMW, Volatility, WST, You Might Have Missed |
On to Stage #2 in my Special Report: “Profit and Protect–What you need to know about stock market stages for 2021. And to my rules for the sells and hedges in Stage #2 for 2021: When you win, you lose. (I just posted sells for ILMN, CTVA, WST and VMW)
February 17, 2021 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Special Reports, You Might Have Missed |
2021 is shaping up as an especially challenging year for investors. Much, much more challenging than 2020. I don’t think we can count on this rally running uninterrupted through the year. That would be simple, wouldn’t it? We’d all know how to profit from that scenario. And I don’t think the market is about to drop off a cliff from its current record highs. That would be traumatic. But, still, we do know how to protect a portfolio in that scenario. And even how to profit from a prolonged plunge–if we can bring ourselves to place those short and Put Options bets. Instead 2021 is likely to be one of those years with a Rally Stage and then a correction (or “something”) to be followed by a last quarter of 2021 that is, at this moment, close to completely unpredictable. That would make 2021 one of those years that gives investors a chance to be wrong several times over, to botch timing on the upside and the downside, and to let emotions power some really bad investment moves. I don’t pretend that I’ve got this year’s market stages down perfectly–although I think the outlines for the first two stages for 2021 are pretty clear. I don’t imagine that I’ve got the timing for navigating these stages clocked perfectly–although I do think I understand “generally” when the market is likely to switch gears. And that lets me lay out for you a likely pattern for 2021 and to suggest stocks and ETFs to use to navigate this year. Part of the point in getting as specific as I can at this point isn’t that I expect that I’ve got everything right, but to lay out concrete markers that will let you and me adjust portfolios as the year progresses. I’m dividing this Special Report into three parts.
October 18, 2019 | Daily JAM, PANW, Special Reports, TWLO, VMW |
I've recently made two tech picks for the shorter-term. I think that over the next four weeks or so both Cirrus Logic (CRUS) and Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) will beat Apple (AAPL) and an Apple-driven technology sector rally. But what about the longer term for technology...
October 15, 2019 | AAPL, CRUS, Daily JAM, SWKS, TSM, VMW, Volatility |
On October 8 I wrote "Tech is back" led by fact-based speculation that Apple (AAPL) had asked supplier to increase production of components for the iPhone 11 by 10%. That, obviously, was a good sign for Apple, which is set to announce earnings on October 30. And, I...
October 10, 2019 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts, VMW |
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September 16, 2019 | CSCO, Daily JAM, GLW, ISRG, PANW, Special Reports |
(A word of apology. I hadn't realized that I had written about this Special Report but never posted it until several readers brought it to my attention last week. My initial reaction was "Impossible! Of course I'd posted it." But checking showed I hadn't. It took...
April 1, 2013 | Daily JAM |
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July 23, 2012 | Daily JAM, Mid Term |
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October 18, 2011 | Daily JAM, Stock Alerts |
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June 10, 2011 | Daily JAM |
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April 20, 2011 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
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