February 5, 2025 | AMD, Daily JAM, INTC, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
Yesterday, February 4, after the close of trading Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) reported record revenue growth for the fourth quarter. The chipmaker even reported growth in market share at the expense of rival Intel (INTC).
Yet in after-hours reading the stock dropped 8.80%. Today’s regular session confirmed the tumble with a 6.27% tumble. The problem for AMD, revenue growth in the company’s data center unit, which competes in the market for AI chips with Nvidia (NVDA) revenue slowed. The problem for the tech sector as a whole, and especially AI stocks, is that the dip in the growth rate for data center revenue was to a “disappointing” 69% rate. That’s only disappointing in comparison to the a year-over-year growth rate of of 122% that the company reported for the third quarter of 2024. This raises the important question for AI and tech stocks: Are current valuations for the stocks predicated on unachievable exceptions for extraordinarily high growth rates for unrealistically long time periods?
January 27, 2025 | Daily JAM, GOOG, Morning Briefing, QCOM |
News that DeepSeek a China AI startup had developed an open-source AI model that matched the performance of U.S. AI models from OpenAI, Alphabet, and Meta platforms at a fraction of the cost sent AI stocks reeling today, Monday, January 27. Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell 17%. Broadcom (AVGO) similarly fell 17%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4%. A gauge of the “Magnificent Seven” megacaps slid 3.2%. The Russell 2000 slipped 1.3%. Wall Street’s “fear gauge”—-the VIX—soared 20% the most since mid-December to almost 18.The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined 10 basis points to 4.53%. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%. Bitcoin fell 3.9%. Here’s what freaked out the markets today.
January 23, 2025 | AMZN, AVGO, CRM, Daily JAM, GOOG, MRVL, NVDA, Special Reports, TSM |
In 2025 you will want your portfolio fully weighted toward AI, ENERGY, and WEIGHT-LOSS DRUG stocks.
Not just any stock in those sectors, of course. All three sectors will be full of surprises and they won’t play out the way the conventional wisdom now believes. Some stocks in these sectors will do just okay as a rising tide lifts all boats. But some stocks will be GREAT. These winners could be the foundation for another great year for your portfolio. In fact, I expect that 2025 will be a tough year for an investor to make money even if stocks do finish higher. That’s because the year will be filled with more than the usual twists and turns designed make you sell on fear just when you should be holding on or even buying more. And don’t think that the year won’t include more than one of those moments rallies designed to suck you in at the top because–well, because you fear missing out. Yes, FOMO, fear of missing out will be alive and well in 2025. To do well in 2025, you’ll have to not only pick the hot trends, but also understand when that trend is about to zig zag and which stocks you’ll want to ride through all the noise and chaos. Giving you what you need for profits in 2025vis what this Special Report: 10 stock picks for the hottest sectors of 2025 is all about.And there’s no better sector to demonstrate the challenges of 2025 than Artificial Intelligence, the first of my hottest sectors for 2025. (The next two hot trends, energy and weight-loss drugs will follow in the next few days.)
January 13, 2025 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, KO, Mid Term, NVDA, PANW, Top 50 Stocks |
Enough downside still ahead so that it makes sense to sell some of your portfolio, take some profits, and raise cash on the prospect of a buying opportunity or two ahead? In my opinion, Yes.
January 13, 2025 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Notes You Need, NVDA, Perfect Five-ETFs, Videos |
Apple (AAPL) sold 5% fewer iPhones globally and lost ground to Chinese rivals in the last quarter of 2024.
The iPhone slipped a percentage point to a 18% worldwide market share in 2024, according to Counterpoint Research data. rival Samsung Electronics also gave up share to Android smart phone makers from China, led by Xiaomi and Vivo. For the full year, Apple saw a 2% decline in sales, according to Counterpoint Research. In 2024 the global smart phone market grew by 4%.
January 5, 2025 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
Last year, Nvidia’s stock experienced a 16% increase over the 10 days following the beginning of the huge Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas. This year Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Jensen Huang is scheduled to deliver the opening keynote speech at 6:30 p.m. Las Vegas time. (That’s 9:30 New York time.) I’d expect a couple of volatile days for Nvidia shares following Huang’s talk.
December 23, 2024 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
Trading was thin for Christmas weeK. So time for Santa to put in an appearance on Wall Street? The Standard & Poor’s 500 finished near session highs, up O.79% to 5974. And Nvidia (NVDA), up 3.69%, and Meta Platforms (META), up 2.49%, helped drive an index of the “Magnificent Seven” megacaps up almost 1.5%.
November 23, 2024 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
I expect more temporizing this week on when to sell a market that everyone agrees is too expensive. It’s especially worthwhile checking on potential tax loss sells as we come out of a great 2024 and head into a much less predictable 2025.
November 18, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
NVIDIA (NVDA) will release its third quarter results after the market closes on Wednesday. Analysts are forecasting over 80% year over year growth in both revenue and EPS. Several Wall Street firms have raised their price targets on Nvidia ahead of its earnings report, citing strong demand for AI chips and the potential for upside surprises. Analysts from HSBC, Oppenheimer, Susquehanna, Wedbush, Raymond James, and Mizuho have increased their price targets, with HSBC setting the highest at $200. The stock closed at $140.15 on Monday, November 18. On the other hand…
November 2, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) will join the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing chipmaker Intel (INTC), S&P Dow Jones Indices, the owner of the 127-year-old index, said late Friday.
October 22, 2024 | Daily JAM, NVDA, TSM |
One indicator that I’m carefully monitoring is the guidance in third quarter earnings conference calls about the fourth quarter. I’m checking to see if the cuts to guidance and that Wall Street disappointment might set in a quarter early. If that looks like the case then I’d think about selling now instead of in January 2025.
October 20, 2024 | AAPL, Daily JAM, GOOG, Jubak Picks, MSFT, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
Amazon’s (AMZN) earnings report on Thursday, October 24, will start the Big Tech Earnings Parade off with a bang. Wall Street analysts are expecting the company to report earnings of $1.14 a share for the third quarter. That would be up from 85 cents a share in the third quarter of 2023. That would be a 34% jump in year over year earnings. Which would certainly be a great lead in to earnings from Alphabet (GOOG), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) the following week.
