November 18, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
NVIDIA (NVDA) will release its third quarter results after the market closes on Wednesday. Analysts are forecasting over 80% year over year growth in both revenue and EPS. Several Wall Street firms have raised their price targets on Nvidia ahead of its earnings report, citing strong demand for AI chips and the potential for upside surprises. Analysts from HSBC, Oppenheimer, Susquehanna, Wedbush, Raymond James, and Mizuho have increased their price targets, with HSBC setting the highest at $200. The stock closed at $140.15 on Monday, November 18. On the other hand…
November 2, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) will join the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replacing chipmaker Intel (INTC), S&P Dow Jones Indices, the owner of the 127-year-old index, said late Friday.
October 22, 2024 | Daily JAM, NVDA, TSM |
One indicator that I’m carefully monitoring is the guidance in third quarter earnings conference calls about the fourth quarter. I’m checking to see if the cuts to guidance and that Wall Street disappointment might set in a quarter early. If that looks like the case then I’d think about selling now instead of in January 2025.
October 20, 2024 | AAPL, Daily JAM, GOOG, Jubak Picks, MSFT, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
Amazon’s (AMZN) earnings report on Thursday, October 24, will start the Big Tech Earnings Parade off with a bang. Wall Street analysts are expecting the company to report earnings of $1.14 a share for the third quarter. That would be up from 85 cents a share in the third quarter of 2023. That would be a 34% jump in year over year earnings. Which would certainly be a great lead in to earnings from Alphabet (GOOG), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) the following week.
October 15, 2024 | ASML, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, NVDA, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks |
I think the only important investing question for Nvidia (NVDA) is whether you want to buy it on the dip for along-term score or whether you want to sell when the stock bounces to a record high and then re-buy on the next dip? In my portfolios I’ve got both a one-term position in my 50 Stocks Portfolio, up 182% since December 7, 2023, and a more trading oriented position in my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio, where the position is up 22% since September 6 even with today’s loss. The stock was up 16% in the last month as of the October 14 close
September 23, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, PFE, PYPL, QCOM, Special Reports, Top 50 Stocks, VMC, Volatility, WST |
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index had a banner first half of 2024 with the index climbing more than 17% as of June 30. But two-thirds of that gain is attributable to just six stocks: Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon.com (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Apple (AAPL.).Track the performance of equal-weighted version of the S&P 500–rather than the commonly tracked index where the contribution of any stock to the index is weighted by market cap–and the index was up just 3.9% in the first half of 2024. For the second half of 2024 and looking ahead to 2024, I’m not so much worried about the fundamentals of this extraordinary rally as I am by a failure of market imagination Everybody owns the same 6 stocks. Hey, I get the excitement around these stocks and the boom in Artificial Intelligence. I share it. Which is why I own shares of Nvidia, Amazon, and Alphabet in my online portfolios. But there are 494 other stocks in the S&P 500. And 2000 stocks in the small-cap Russell 2000.(Up 9% in the first half of 2024.)After a rally that has recorded 30 new record highs for the S&P 500 just the first half of n 2024, some of that other 494–or 2000–are actually better stock buys, and likely to out perform the 6 stocks everybody owns from their current record high prices. But which ones? That’s what my Special Report: “10 New Stock Ideas for an Old Rally” is all about.
September 19, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, Short Term, Top 50 Stocks |
It’s not just that stocks soared Thursday, September 19 with the Standard & Poor’s 500 climbing 1.7% to set its 39th record in 2024. It’s what stocks topped the leader board in the advance and what stocks lagged.
September 16, 2024 | Daily JAM, Long Term, Morning Briefing, NVDA, Volatility |
I think of Nvidia (NVDA) as this market’s warning indicator; it’s the canary in a coal mine; the bird that will die first if dangerous gases start to build up. So, yes, it’s important that Nvidia shares plunged from $134.91 on July 10 to $98.91 on August 7. And again from $128.83 on August 28 to $102.83 on September 6. But the shares are up again–15.83% last week–to $116.78 This canary seems to be sending a rather more complicated message than “Look I’m dead! See my feet in the air?” What’s the message, though?
September 3, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
Yesterday the DOJ sent subpoenas to Nvidia Corp. and other companies seeking evidence that the chipmaker violated antitrust laws. The DOJ, which had previously delivered questionnaires to companies, is now sending legally binding subpoenas that require recipients to provide information. That takes the government a step closer to launching a formal complaint.
August 30, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
I was hoping that Nvidia (NVDA) would take a bigger dip on its “disappointing” earnings news last week. But a 7% or so drop looks like the best we’ll get. And I certainly want to own these shares before the revenue from the new Blackwell chips kicks in during 2025. I already own these shares in my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio. Today I’m adding them to my 12-18 month Jubak Picks Portfolio. The bad news out of Nvidia last week in its August 28 earnings report?
August 28, 2024 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
A report Saturday said one of Nvidia’s next generation chips will be delayed by a just-discovered design flaw. Tech news site The Information, citing a couple of industry sources, said volume shipments of the Blackwell B200 chip would be delayed some three months.
August 27, 2024 | Daily JAM, GOOG, Mid Term, MSFT, NVDA |
Remember the good old days–say, 2023–when all you had to do was slap AI in the name of a company and the stock would soar? I kept waiting for AI Burgers made from AI cows, or AI Shoes, which used AI machine learning algorithms to tell you what size shoe you needed. This investor embrace of all things AI led to the fear that there was an AI-stock market bubble that would send the entire stock market into a very painful bear market when it broke. The appetite for AI stocks is still huge–witness the rebound in Nvidia (NVDA) shares that added $400 billion to the stock’s market cap in a four-day recovery from the “sky-is-falling, we’re-headed-to-a-recession stock market retreat. But this stock market still has a big AI problem. We will find out how big when Nvidia reports earnings after the close tomorrow, August 28. Here’s the problem: Most AI companies aren’t making money.
