Jubak Picks
February 1, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, MSFT, Top 50 Stocks, Videos |
Today’s video is Microsoft Shows Priced to Perfection Risks. This quarter, the company reported Tuesday, Azure, its cloud services flagship, grew revenue by 30% last year. While a 30% growth rate would be a great for many companies, Wall Street and analysts were disappointed in this news from Microsoft. This is the “priced to perfection” problem. Although the company beat earnings estimates, beat revenue estimates, and showed 30% growth in a key part of the company, the stock went down. Maybe a $3 trillion market cap on Microsoft is a lot of weight to push up hill. We could see more of this during this earnings season as Amazon, Apple and Meta release their own reports. The “Magnificent Seven” that were responsible for most of the 24% gain in the S&P in 2023 are beginning to wobble. My hope was for more market leaders to emerge but that doesn’t seem to be happening. I don’t expect “wobble” to cause anything that terrible in the market, but a sideways move is likely as investors ponder their next move.
January 30, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, MSFT, Top 50 Stocks |
It is perhaps too early to draw meaningful conclusions, but Microsoft’s failure to jump in after-hours trading on better than expected earnings sure seems like more evidence that this is a market priced to perfection.
January 26, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, Top 50 Stocks, V |
After the close yesterday, Visa (V) reported earnings of $2.41 a share (after adjusting for one-time items) for the December 2023 quarter. (That the company’s fiscal first quarter.) Analysts had been looking for $2.34 a share in adjusted earnings. Revenue grew 8.8% to $8.63 billion, again beating analyst forecasts for $8.55 billion in revenue. Visa said payments volume grew 8%, and that its processed transactions rose 9% in the period. And yet the stock was down $4.70 a share, or 1.72%, to $267.91 at the close today, Friday, January 26. Why?
January 24, 2024 | AMAT, AMD, ASML, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks |
Shares of ASML Holding (ASML) closed up 8.85% today after the company reported record orders for its chip-making equipment in the fourth quarter. ASML sales grew 12.5% year-over-year. And orders more than tripled from the third-quarter. I added shares of ASML Holding to my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio on December 12, 2023. The position is up 17.6% since then as of the close on January 24.
January 18, 2024 | Daily JAM, Dip-O-Meter, Jubak Picks, Long Term, Top 50 Stocks, V |
Today I posted my 319th YouTube video: Quick Pick Visa. And I’ll be adding the stock to another of my portfolios.
January 17, 2024 | AMD, Daily JAM, INTC, Jubak Picks, NVDA, Stock Alerts, Volatility |
It’s important to remember exactly how young artificial intelligence is as a market product. I certainly don’t think it’s possible to project the long-term winners on either the software or hardware side. Remember the days when Apple (AAPL) thought it was worth buying a Super Bowl add to urge consumers to smash the IBM PC empire? But I do think the hardware road map is petty clear for the next two to three years. Which is why I’m adding shares of Advanced Micro Devices to my portfolios tomorrow.
January 14, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Long Term, QCOM, Short Term, Stock Alerts, Volatility |
GREATER Growth Stock Pick #10: Qualcomm (QCOM). I think the market and the current stock price are missing a good prt of the growth story for Qualcomm. Which is why I find the stock undervalued enough to buy here. Right now the market disagrees. However, I’ll be adding the stock to my Jubak Picks and Volatility Portfolios on Tuesday, January 16.
January 4, 2024 | Daily JAM, DNNGY, EQNR, Jubak Picks, Long Term, VWDRY |
I think this is good news, sort of, for the very troubled wind power sector.
Yesterday, January 3, Equinor (EQNR) and BP (BP) announced that they would terminate their contract and exit the 1.2 gigawatt Empire Wind 2 project off the coast of New York. Why is this good news?
January 3, 2024 | BYDDF, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Top 50 Stocks, Volatility |
This change at the top of the electric car market was widely expected. The only debate was whether it take place in the last quarter of 2023 or early in 2024. Now, we know. With both Tesla (TSLA) and BYD (BYDDF) reporting fourth quarter delivery numbers in the last few days, the switch at No. 1 is now complete.
January 1, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Mid Term, PANW, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks |
GREATER Growth Stock Pick #9: Palo Alto Networks (PANW). I’m not going to try to convince you that shares of cyber-security favorite Palo Alto Networks are a value stock. It trades at 166 times trialing 12-month earnings per share. And I’m not going to try to convince you that this is an undiscovered stock that’s going to sneak up on anyone. The shares was up 111% in 2023. (The stock has been a member of my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio since July 17, 2019. In that time the position is up 296%.) But remember the point of this Special Report–I’m looking for great growth stocks, which aren’t cheap in this market by any means, with catalysts in the next year or two that will push growth higher. And here I think Palo Alto Systems rings the bell three times over.
December 28, 2023 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Mid Term, Morning Briefing, Top 50 Stocks, Volatility |
GREATER Growth Stock Pick #8: BYD (BYDDF). I know; I know. What’s a Chinese stock doing on this list? It’s here because BYD, not Tesla (TSLA) is the big growth story in electric vehicles and not just for this month–but for years. And because I can see two catalysts that are about to power this stock higher. Morningstar calculates that BYD is 20% undervalued right now. Because this is a China stock we’ll need to take a deep look at valuation later in this post. But first, the growth story.
December 15, 2023 | COST, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks |
Costco Wholesale (COST) reported earnings for its fiscal first quarter of 2024 and declared a long anticipated special dividend of $15 a share. The stock closed up 4.61% on Friday, December 15.
