March 1, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, PANW, Top 50 Stocks |
After the close on Monday February 22 Palo Alto Networks (PANW) reported a loss of $1.42 million (or $1.48 a share) on revenue of $1.02 billion million for the company’s fiscal second quarter. Adjusted earnings–which exclude share-based compensation and other items, were $1.53 a share. Revenue grew by 25% year over year. Wall Street had been looking for adjusted earnings of $1.43 a share on revenue of $986 million. Billings for future orders ross to $1.21 billion from $999 in the year ago wearer. Analysts had forecast billings of $1.18 billion. But the shares fell in after hours trading when in its conference call the company forecast adjusted earnings of $1.27 to $1.29 a share on revenue of $1.05 to $1.06 billion for the fiscal third quarter. Analysts were looking for adjusted earnings of $1.29 a share on revenue of $1.05 billion for the fiscal third quarter. For the full fiscal year Palo Alto Networks forecast adjusted earnings of $5.80 to $5.90 a share on revenue of $4.15 billion to $4.2 billion. Wall Street had been looking for $5.79 a share in adjusted earnings on revenue of $4.12 for the year. On the plus side of the ledger there are two reasons that I’m keeping this company in my Jubak Picks Portfolio and my long-term 50 Stocks Portfolio
February 26, 2021 | CRM, CTVA, Daily JAM, ILMN, ISRG, Jubak Picks, PANW, Top 50 Stocks, VMW, Volatility, WST, You Might Have Missed |
On to Stage #2 in my Special Report: “Profit and Protect–What you need to know about stock market stages for 2021. And to my rules for the sells and hedges in Stage #2 for 2021: When you win, you lose. (I just posted sells for ILMN, CTVA, WST and VMW)
February 17, 2021 | Daily JAM, Mid Term, Special Reports, You Might Have Missed |
2021 is shaping up as an especially challenging year for investors. Much, much more challenging than 2020. I don’t think we can count on this rally running uninterrupted through the year. That would be simple, wouldn’t it? We’d all know how to profit from that scenario. And I don’t think the market is about to drop off a cliff from its current record highs. That would be traumatic. But, still, we do know how to protect a portfolio in that scenario. And even how to profit from a prolonged plunge–if we can bring ourselves to place those short and Put Options bets. Instead 2021 is likely to be one of those years with a Rally Stage and then a correction (or “something”) to be followed by a last quarter of 2021 that is, at this moment, close to completely unpredictable. That would make 2021 one of those years that gives investors a chance to be wrong several times over, to botch timing on the upside and the downside, and to let emotions power some really bad investment moves. I don’t pretend that I’ve got this year’s market stages down perfectly–although I think the outlines for the first two stages for 2021 are pretty clear. I don’t imagine that I’ve got the timing for navigating these stages clocked perfectly–although I do think I understand “generally” when the market is likely to switch gears. And that lets me lay out for you a likely pattern for 2021 and to suggest stocks and ETFs to use to navigate this year. Part of the point in getting as specific as I can at this point isn’t that I expect that I’ve got everything right, but to lay out concrete markers that will let you and me adjust portfolios as the year progresses. I’m dividing this Special Report into three parts.
February 2, 2021 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term |
As of 3:15 p.m. today, February 2, in New York, shares of GameStop (GME)were down 56.22% to $98.50. That a big drop from the January 27 closing high of $347.51, but it’s still significantly above the $17.25 price on January 4. Other stocks that have ridden the Reddit WallStreetBets fever for short squeeze horses are down today too. AMC (AMC) is off 39.70% to $8.02. First Majestic Silver (AG), the big silver play of the last few days, has given up 24.28% to $16.75. Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) is off 14.64% to $25.77. American Airlines (AAL), an early short squeeze play, slipped 1.16% to $17.65. The only potential short squeeze bet (if it was, that is) that’s still climbing is vaccine pill biotech Vaxart (VXRT), which was up 34.30% at 3:15 and looks to be riding momentum into the close. (The shares were up 54.43% as of 3:40 p.m.) Vaxart does bring this question to mind: So if the money is coming out of GameStop, etc., where is it going?
November 10, 2020 | Daily JAM, Dip-O-Meter, Mid Term |
The recent drop in the prices of technology shares--the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) was down 1.86% today, November 10, after retreating 0.72% yesterday, November 9, certainly draws the eye of any investor or trader looking for potential bargains. We're not at...
October 1, 2020 | Daily JAM, Short Term |
The economic news today was at best "not terrible." Initial claims for unemployment for the week showed a job market recovery that has stalled. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi adjourned their talks for another day without bridging the...
July 13, 2020 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, Short Term, You Might Have Missed |
At the high point during the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 2.2%. It closed with a gain of just 0.1% for the day. The trend wasn't limited to U.S. stocks. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) was up 1.26% at noon New York time but closed off 0.67%...
June 29, 2020 | AAPL, CRUS, Daily JAM, DIS, NXPI, PANW, SHAK, Short Term, TWLO |
I'd like to see this pattern season for a few more days--until next week I'd say--but I think I see a promising trading strategy for the second quarter earnings season that begins, in my mind at least, with JPMorgan Chase (JPM) before the market open on Tuesday, July...
June 17, 2020 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
Just about everybody agrees that the world after the coronavirus pandemic and recession will look very different. And from what I've read every stock market guru worth his or her smart phone agrees that buy the stocks of companies that are "attuned" to that different...
June 16, 2020 | Daily JAM |
Just about everybody agrees that the world after the coronavirus pandemic and recession will look very different. And from what I've read every stock market guru worth his or her smart phone agrees that buying the stocks of companies that are "attuned" to that...
June 12, 2020 | Daily JAM, PANW, Stock Alerts |
Analysts have raised their earnings estimate for cyber-security software company Palo Alto Networks (PANW) by 4.5% to 6.5% (depending on the data source you use) over the last 60 days. For 2020 Wall Street is now looking for $4.79 a share for 2020. That would still be...
April 22, 2020 | Daily JAM, Special Reports |
Just about everybody agrees that the world after the coronavirus pandemic and recession will look very different. And from what I've read every stock market guru worth his or her smart phone agrees that buy the stocks of companies that are "attuned" to that different...