January 26, 2025 | AAPL, BA, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, MSFT, T, Top 50 Stocks, XOM |
This week its earnings, earnings, and earnings. From the tech giants and more. This week, we’ll discover three things. First, are tech company earnings as good as the market clearly expects. I think that with the exception of Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA) the answer will be Yes. Second, how much of this good news is already priced into the recent rally. These stocks could retreat even on news that’s as good as expected. An advance will, I think, require a surprise or two. And, third, how worried is Wall Street really, given the recent boom in all things AI, about capital spending at the big AI companies and falling profit margins.
January 23, 2025 | AMZN, AVGO, CRM, Daily JAM, GOOG, MRVL, NVDA, Special Reports, TSM |
In 2025 you will want your portfolio fully weighted toward AI, ENERGY, and WEIGHT-LOSS DRUG stocks.
Not just any stock in those sectors, of course. All three sectors will be full of surprises and they won’t play out the way the conventional wisdom now believes. Some stocks in these sectors will do just okay as a rising tide lifts all boats. But some stocks will be GREAT. These winners could be the foundation for another great year for your portfolio. In fact, I expect that 2025 will be a tough year for an investor to make money even if stocks do finish higher. That’s because the year will be filled with more than the usual twists and turns designed make you sell on fear just when you should be holding on or even buying more. And don’t think that the year won’t include more than one of those moments rallies designed to suck you in at the top because–well, because you fear missing out. Yes, FOMO, fear of missing out will be alive and well in 2025. To do well in 2025, you’ll have to not only pick the hot trends, but also understand when that trend is about to zig zag and which stocks you’ll want to ride through all the noise and chaos. Giving you what you need for profits in 2025vis what this Special Report: 10 stock picks for the hottest sectors of 2025 is all about.And there’s no better sector to demonstrate the challenges of 2025 than Artificial Intelligence, the first of my hottest sectors for 2025. (The next two hot trends, energy and weight-loss drugs will follow in the next few days.)
January 21, 2025 | AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, Mid Term, MSFT |
I advise investors not to think for a moment that the regulatory issues that faced Big Tech under the Biden Administration have al gone away. President Trumps key picks for the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) and the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) show there are still big bumps in the road ahead.
October 31, 2024 | Daily JAM, GOOG, Jubak Picks, MSFT, Top 50 Stocks |
From BIG Tech earnings results so far, what seems clear is that if a company smashes through expectations like Alphabet (GOOG) did, the stock will climb. If, however, you merely match expectations like Meta Platforms (META) and Microsoft (MSFT) then shares retreat.
October 28, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Short Term, Top 50 Stocks |
Right now the Magnificent 7 stocks that have provided so much of the leadership in this huge rally look like they will show slowing earnings growth when they–Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft are up this week–report in the next few days.
October 27, 2024 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
The week will bring Big Tech earnings reports and more earnings reports. All capped on Friday with the October jobs report, the last one before the November 7 meeting of the Federal Reserve on interest rates. (Which means that the Fed will be in its blackout period before the meeting–so no Fed speeches.) And, just for good measure, third quarter GDP figures are due Wednesday, October 30, and PCE inflation numbers are scheduled for Thursday, October 31.
October 20, 2024 | AAPL, Daily JAM, GOOG, Jubak Picks, MSFT, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
Amazon’s (AMZN) earnings report on Thursday, October 24, will start the Big Tech Earnings Parade off with a bang. Wall Street analysts are expecting the company to report earnings of $1.14 a share for the third quarter. That would be up from 85 cents a share in the third quarter of 2023. That would be a 34% jump in year over year earnings. Which would certainly be a great lead in to earnings from Alphabet (GOOG), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) the following week.
September 23, 2024 | BRK/B, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, LNG, PFE, PYPL, QCOM, Special Reports, Top 50 Stocks, VMC, Volatility, WST |
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index had a banner first half of 2024 with the index climbing more than 17% as of June 30. But two-thirds of that gain is attributable to just six stocks: Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Alphabet (GOOG), Amazon.com (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), and Apple (AAPL.).Track the performance of equal-weighted version of the S&P 500–rather than the commonly tracked index where the contribution of any stock to the index is weighted by market cap–and the index was up just 3.9% in the first half of 2024. For the second half of 2024 and looking ahead to 2024, I’m not so much worried about the fundamentals of this extraordinary rally as I am by a failure of market imagination Everybody owns the same 6 stocks. Hey, I get the excitement around these stocks and the boom in Artificial Intelligence. I share it. Which is why I own shares of Nvidia, Amazon, and Alphabet in my online portfolios. But there are 494 other stocks in the S&P 500. And 2000 stocks in the small-cap Russell 2000.(Up 9% in the first half of 2024.)After a rally that has recorded 30 new record highs for the S&P 500 just the first half of n 2024, some of that other 494–or 2000–are actually better stock buys, and likely to out perform the 6 stocks everybody owns from their current record high prices. But which ones? That’s what my Special Report: “10 New Stock Ideas for an Old Rally” is all about.
September 17, 2024 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Long Term, MSFT, Stock Alerts, Top 50 Stocks |
Microsoft (MSFT) raised its quarterly dividend by 10% and unveiled a new $60 billion stock-buyback program, matching the size of a repurchase plan three years ago. Shares were up as much as 2.4% today, September 17, before closing ahead 0.87%.
August 27, 2024 | Daily JAM, GOOG, Mid Term, MSFT, NVDA |
Remember the good old days–say, 2023–when all you had to do was slap AI in the name of a company and the stock would soar? I kept waiting for AI Burgers made from AI cows, or AI Shoes, which used AI machine learning algorithms to tell you what size shoe you needed. This investor embrace of all things AI led to the fear that there was an AI-stock market bubble that would send the entire stock market into a very painful bear market when it broke. The appetite for AI stocks is still huge–witness the rebound in Nvidia (NVDA) shares that added $400 billion to the stock’s market cap in a four-day recovery from the “sky-is-falling, we’re-headed-to-a-recession stock market retreat. But this stock market still has a big AI problem. We will find out how big when Nvidia reports earnings after the close tomorrow, August 28. Here’s the problem: Most AI companies aren’t making money.
July 22, 2024 | Daily JAM, Morning Briefing |
Nothing like being at the center of the largest IT “event” in history to send a stock tumblling. Last week CrowdStrike (CRWD), one of the biggest makers of cybersecurity software, pushed out a flawed update that caused an error in the Microsoft Windows operating system that runs millions of computers at point of sales terminals and reservation systems at business such as Starbucks, at airports and airlines, and at banks and financial markets. The file “C-00000291*.sys,” was buried in an update for CrowdStrike’s Falcon sensor product and caused an error in Microsoft Windows operating system. Repairing the damage is expected to take months such much the work has to be done manually. Meanwhile CrowdStrikes shares are in free fall. The shares lost 11% on Friday and dropped another 13.5% today.
July 21, 2024 | AAPL, AMZN, Daily JAM, GOOG, Jubak Picks, MSFT, Top 50 Stocks |
I expect technology sector weakness to continue with earnings worries still unanswered. What could put an end to selling in tech stocks? The NASDAQ 100 is down almost 4% in the last week. Certainly earnings news that showed earnings growth at the companies in this sector robust enough to justify paying a premium for these shares would be a big help Unfortunately, the coming week isn’t going to bring enough earnings good news among tech shares to make this case. Among big tech stocks only Tesla (TSLA) and Alphabet (GOOG) are scheduled to report.
