Z-SYMBOLS
December 2, 2021 | AAPL, AMAT, Daily JAM, Morning Briefing, SMNNY |
Want to know exactly how volatile the stock market is right now? Yesterday investors and traders got news that the first case of the Omicron Variant had been recorded in California. On that, and some “We’ll tighten sooner than expected” remarks from Fed officials, stocks plunged with the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing a 972 point swing from high at 11:25 and 34,994 to the close a 34,022. Today investors and traders got news of a second case–a Minnesota man who had attended an anime conference in New York. And the stock market didn’t just shrug; it rallied big time with the Standard & Poor’s 500 closing up 1.42%, the Dow Industrials u 1.85%, and the small cap Russell 2000 ahead 2.74%.
December 1, 2021 | AMAT, Daily JAM, DIS, Jubak Picks, MGM, Millennial, OTLY, Top 50 Stocks, Volatility |
After a huge rally like we’re had this year, it’s easy to fall into one of the most common buy on the dip traps. Just because a stock is cheaper than it was, it’s not necessarily a bargain. There’s nothing that says a stock has to return to its previous price after a dip. And especially that it has to return to that former price on your schedule. Let me use Disney (DIS), one of the stocks I’m tracking in my Dip-O-Meter, as an example.
December 1, 2021 | AMAT, ASML, Daily JAM, Short Term |
After yesterday’s selling, we’re getting a bounce today. But, significantly, the bounce in stocks is much less “bouncy” than the Monday bounce from Friday’s plunge.
November 30, 2021 | Daily JAM, DHR, Jubak Picks |
It’s hard today, November 30, to find any stock with the kind of momentum that I’m looking for in the last month of 2021. Apple (AAPL) looks like a good possibility, which is why I made it Pick #5 in this Special Report and why I added the shares to my Jubak Picks and Volatility portfolios. Danaher’s (DHR) momentum is less obviously–especially on a day like today when the stock has closed don 1.87% to $320.42. But take a step back.
November 30, 2021 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Volatility |
Even as losses accelerate for almost all stocks as we head into the close today–the Standard & Poor’s 500, which was down 1.31% at 2:30 In New York had moved to a loss of 1.74% as of 3:30–shares of Apple (AAPL) continue to hang onto the green.
November 29, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, ZBRA |
When I bought Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) back on June 28, 2021, I thought the stock was moderately over-valued. But that, like many over-valued stocks with momentum, it would move higher. I set a target price then of $596 a share. Well, moderately over-valued has become more seriously over-valued. Morningstar calculates that the stock traded at a 37% premium before the 2.79% gain today, November 29.
November 23, 2021 | Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, VGIT, VGSH, Volatility |
On what looks like solid odds for interest rate increases in 2022, I’m selling my remaining Treasury ETFs out of my portfolios.
November 23, 2021 | Daily JAM, KBWB, Perfect Five-ETFs |
Today on the market’s recalculation of the Federal Reserve’s schedule for interest rate increases–initial hike in June instead of September and two increases 2022 instead of one–I’m adding my allocation to the Invesco KBWB Bank ETF (KBWB) in my Perfect 5 ETF Portfolio to 30% from the prior 20%.
November 22, 2021 | Daily JAM, KBWB, Perfect Five-ETFs |
Even if mere mortals don’t know whether a second term as Fed chair for Jerome Powell would accelerate the schedule for interest rate increases, both the yen/dollar market and bank stocks know.
November 22, 2021 | AAPL, Daily JAM, Jubak Picks, Volatility |
It was sure hard to see a market melt up today, November 22. The Standard & Poor’s 500 was down 0.32% and the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.26%. Market leaders in the melt up rally like Applied Materials (AMAT) and Microsoft (MSFT) were down 1.65% and 0.96%, respectively. And it was even harder to see the trend I thought might be on its way in my Friday, November 19 post “Forward into the past with tech stocks:We’re seen this market before.” The rotation into tech stocks that I saw on Friday turned into loses of 3.12% for Nvidia (NVDA), and 1.92% for Alphabet (GOOG.)
But I suggest that you take a look at Apple’s (AAPL) performance today
November 17, 2021 | Daily JAM, Millennial, Morning Briefing, NVDA, Top 50 Stocks |
On Saturday I posted that Nvidia’s (NVDA) earnings report on November 17–that is today–and the market reaction to the company’s quarterly earnings report would tell us a lot about market sentiment and the magnitude of any year-end, market melt up rally.
Wall Street analysts were projecting that the company would announced earnings of 95 cents a share for the quarter that ended in October. That would be a huge 58% increase from the 60 cents a share reported for the October 2020 quarter, I
But, I worried, that much of that number was already in the share price. The stock was up 47% in the last month and 133% for the year to the November 15 close. Would the stock drop if all the company did was meet expectations?
November 17, 2021 | AMAT, AMD, Daily JAM, F, Mid Term, QCOM, Special Reports |
Tolstoy was wrong when he wrote at the beginning of Anna Karenina that “All happy stock markets are alike; each unhappy market is unhappy in its own way.” (That’s what it says in the original Russian, I swear.) Truth is that all happy stock markets are different.
There are the long rallies from valuation bottoms that come after a disaster like the Global Financial Crisis and the Great Recession. There are the sharp quick explosive moves higher that come after the passing of a panic with less damage than expected like that after the Pandemic meltdown in the spring of 2020. And, among all the other happy markets, there are the market melt ups that come after a long bull market has already driven valuations to nose-bleed levels. Sometimes that melt up turns out to be the final blow out stage that comes before a big correction–but not always. And sometimes the melt up just drives stocks to a high where they stagnate while fundamentals catch up with prices. I believe we’re in the midst of a market melt up now. In this Special Report I’m going to outline the ways in which this “happy” market is different; give you advice on how to adapt this rally to your portfolio goals; and finally give you 10 picks for profiting from this melt-up.
