GLD
September 17, 2024 | Daily JAM, GLD, GOLD, Jubak Picks, Perfect Five-ETFs, Short Term, Volatility |
I think you want to own gold–through something like the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) right now to profit from decreasing interest rates at most of the world’s central banks, from global macro uncertainty, from the possibility of domestic violence in the United States around the election, and from what sure looks like a train wreck in U.S. fiscal policy.
In the short term. Say six to nine months–maybe even a year–from now. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF is up 24.84% for 2024 as of the September 16 close. In that same time period I think shares of gold mining companies are likely to lag the gains in gold. Shares of Barrack Gold (GOLD), the world’s second largest gold producer, are up just 15.09% in 2024.
August 26, 2024 | Daily JAM, GDX, GLD, GOLD, Jubak Picks, Mid Term, Morning Briefing, NEM, Perfect Five-ETFs, Stock Alerts, Volatility |
Gold hit a new all-time high today of $2554 an ounce on the Comex for December delivery. Gold’s 20% or so gain in 2024 to date (as of August 26) is a result of strong central-bank buying plus Asian purchases plus anticipation that the Federal Reserve was about to cut interest rates. Now that Fed chair Jerome Powell has just about promised a cut at the Fed’s September 18 meeting it looks like gold will climb further in 2024 on the fundamentals. Bullish Wall Street targets say $2700 to $3,000 by the end of 2024. That’s a decent reason to hold gold. But the very scary geopolitical landscape over the next six months makes me anxious to add more gold even at the record nominal high for the metal.
April 22, 2024 | Daily JAM, GLD, GOLD, Jubak Picks, Morning Briefing, NEM, Short Term |
Gold futures for June delivery closed down 2.92% on the Comex today. The metal closed at $2343.40 an ounce. The drop came on a lessening of fears that the exchange of attacks between Israel and Iran would quickly lead to a wider Middle East war. And on growing sentiment that the Federal Reserve isn’t likely to cut interest rates soon. The drop in the gold contract for June delivery was the largest since February 3, 2023 when it fell 2.8%.
December 1, 2023 | Daily JAM, GDX, GLD, GOLD, Jubak Picks, NEM |
Gold (for February 2024 delivery) was trading at $2087 an ounce on New York Comex today, December 1. That easily beats the old record high of $2051.50 an ounce back in August 2020. The shiny metal is up 12% from $1830 an ounce in early October. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD), which holds gold, is up 2.53% in the last month as of November 30. History, and the price action on the Gold Shares ETF, tells us that at this point in a strong gold rally, it doesn’t pay to chase gold itself, but it does pay to buy shares of gold miners.
October 9, 2023 | Daily JAM, GDX, GLD, Jubak Picks, Volatility |
Gold was up 1.9% in trading on COMEX today to $1876 an ounce on war in Israel and Gaza and fears that it would become a wider conflict in the region. I’ve been looking for an exit from two of my gold positions for a while now. And tomorrow is a good exit point, I think.
April 18, 2023 | COST, Daily JAM, GDX, GLD, GOLD, KO, Mid Term, PEP, RWM, Special Reports |
10 Picks for the Coming Recession. This one is especially difficult. Not only do I face the usual crystal-ball problem that comes up whenever you try to pick an investment for the future–what’s the macro and micro world going to look like in 6 months or a year from now–but I’ve got two big Recession-specific challenges. First, is there actually going to be a Recession in 2023? All the signs, in my opinion, point toward a recession in the second and third quarters, but it’s by no means guaranteed that we’ll have the two quarters of negative GDP growth that’s required by the minimal definition of a recession. And what’s the point, you might well ask, of making picks for a coming recession that never arrives? And, second, how bad will this recession be?
April 4, 2023 | AG, Daily JAM, GDX, GLD, GOLD, Jubak Picks, Perfect Five-ETFs, Volatility |
Gold for June delivery closed at 2039.00 an ounce on the Comex today. That’s not too far away from the all-time record high of $2,070 an ounce. The move above $2,000 an ounce and any breach of the record at $2070 could trigger a rally as traders short gold buy to cover positions. That could well be true, but I’d note that this forecast of a gold rally is coming from traders long gold who are trying to talk a rally into being.
January 30, 2023 | Daily JAM, GDX, GDXJ, GLD, GOLD, Jubak Picks, Perfect Five-ETFs, Volatility |
With the Federal Reserve seemingly winding down its cycle of interest rate increases, a stronger dollar is no longer the big currency market story. Gold is. Gold is back. And for at least the next 3 to 6 months.
August 5, 2020 | AG, Daily JAM, GDX, GLD, GOLD, Jubak Picks |
We've been here before. With gold and silver we're at that stage in a huge rally where Wall Street analysts rush to increase their target prices in order to keep ahead of the market and where the number of posts urging investors to get in now--And here's...
August 3, 2020 | Daily JAM, GLD, GOLD |
Spot gold hit an all-time high today to close at $1991.40 an ounce. In July gold rose 11%, the most since 2012. And now even investors and traders who never own gold are looking at the metal and say, "Should I buy? Will it rally some more?" In my opinion it's late to...
January 29, 2020 | AG, Daily JAM, GLD, GOLD, Perfect Five-ETFs, Volatility |
Gold held by ETFs (exchange-traded funds) hit the highest level in seven years on Tuesday as investors and traders piled into the traditional hedge against uncertainty and stock market volatility. Worldwide gold holdings in ETFs rose to 2,561.2 tons as of Tuesday, the...
May 3, 2019 | Daily JAM, GLD, Perfect Five-ETFs |
Maybe investors are in love with the U.S. stock market--but global central banks are as enthusiastic about the U.S. Dollar. In the first quarter gold purchases by global central banks were the highest in six years. The move into gold seems to come from a desire to...
